SMT Bay City

10 MW / 20 MWh · CATL · Wartsila · COD 2025

WarningOnline ERCOTSMT Bay City LLCTax equity: Partner B
SOH vs warranty floor
94.8%
4.8 pts above the 90% floor
Cycles used YTD
412/700
Projected ~989 /yr · envelope breach in Q4
Availability vs guarantee
0.4pts
98.4%
this settlement period vs 98% guarantee
$ at risk on this site
-$210K
Rollup of 1 open exposures

Period comparison

The reason is the point, not the delta

-0.5 ptsworse
This week59.1%Last week59.6%

SOC down 0.5 pts vs last week.

Availability analytics

Click any day for root cause, forecast and revenue impact

Event intelligence
Positive spikeMay 24 – May 26 · 3d · maintenance+0.6 ptsvs normal
Peak that day
99.2%
Normal 98.6%
Below guarantee
0d
stayed above line
Revenue impact
$0
No revenue at risk
What happened

Positive deviation, no revenue at risk: scheduled quarterly maintenance finished a day ahead of plan, returning the asset to full availability early and lifting uptime ~0.8 pts above its normal band.

Predictive analysis

Availability forecast to hold the restored buffer; no follow-on risk.

Recommended action

No action required — capture the early return as a schedule credit in the O&M report.

Recommendations for this site

Plain English, ranked by impact

  1. 1

    Cap discretionary cycling on Bay City, or shift dispatch to Corpus and Dallas III, which hold the most cycle headroom.

    SMT Bay City·-$210K
  2. 2

    Auto-generate the LP / tax-equity pack from settled availability data instead of rebuilding it in Excel.

    SMT Bay City·deadline

Contract position

Money-attached, each figure carries its evidence

Warranty envelope (cycles)
288 cycles headroom · 9 yrs term remaining
412 / 700
Availability vs guarantee
+0.4 pts vs 98% guarantee
98.4%
RTE vs warranted
+0.6 pts vs 85% warranted
85.6%

Warranty floor trajectory

Measured SOH vs warranted curve vs the contract floor

Above floor through the horizon
Measured SOH
Projected
Warranted curve
Floor 90%

Open alerts

2 current open findings on this site

Full queue →
On pace to breach the cycle envelope in 8 monthsCycle envelope130d · Projected envelope breach

412 of 700 annual cycles used by month 5. Arbitrage cycling has run harder than the warranty throughput assumes.

-$210KOpen
Q2 tax-equity performance report dueReporting6d · Tax-equity quarterly report

Flip-schedule performance package for the Bay City and Harlingen II LLCs is due to the tax-equity partner, currently assembled by hand.

deadlineOpen

Digital twin

Container and rack severity · click a flagged rack to open its finding

CriticalWarningWinnerHealthy
20 MWh · 10 racks2 racks flagged

Rack-level view, kept shallow by design. B9 stays at the contractual and financial layer, not cell diagnostics.